Tag: Federal Units

  • Magway’s Defence Force Law and the Security Scenarios Ahead

    Magway’s Defence Force Law and the Security Scenarios Ahead

    Magway’s Defence Force Law and the Security Scenarios Ahead

    Resistance fighters in Ah Nyar – Tamar Operation of Magway (Photo: Magway PDF)

    Briefing Paper on Federal Unit Politics of Central Burma (Part 4). This analysis is the fourth part of the briefing paper on federal unit politics in central Burma. Part 1 examined the structural formation of federal units, Part 2 analysed their internal power structures, and Part 3 focused on the human rights frameworks embedded in the interim constitutional arrangements of three federal units in Ah Nyar.

    Enacted on 25 September 2026 as Law No. 7 by the 12th Assembly of the Magway Federal Unit Parliament, the Magway Defence Force Law establishes a legal framework for organising and governing the resistance forces. It comprises nine chapters and 66 Articles and was enacted pursuant to Section 123 of the Interim Political Arrangement Law of the Magway Federal Unit. Section 114 of the Interim Political Arrangement Law provides for two distinct forces at the federal-unit level:

    • Magway Federal Unit Defence Force and
    • Magway Federal Unit Security Force or police force.

    The Defence Force Law gives effect to the former by setting out its structure, command arrangements and operational framework. It also establishes a Joint Military Operation Commission to facilitate cooperation with Union-level defence forces, ethnic armed organisations in neighbouring states and other resistance forces operating within Magway. The law therefore marks an important step in formalising Magway’s defence governance. It also raises questions about how the unit’s new structures will coordinate with the NUG and neighbouring forces, how local People’s Defence Teams will transition into the framework, and whether the system can balance responsive unit-level command with coherent federal security coordination.

    The origin

    Magway Federal Unit Defence Force Law grew out of a wider political shift in central Burma, better known as Ah Nyar. In Sagaing, Magway and Mandalay, regional actors have developed constitutional frameworks to establish federal unit governments in coordination with the NUG. These arrangements offer a critical political window to build new governing institutions while the country remains in conflict. Constitutionally, Magway’s Interim Political Arrangement Law laid part of the groundwork for this process. Article169 (c) authorises Magway Federal Unit to form and administer its own defence and security forces. This gives the unit a clear role in organising its security institutions. At the same time, the Interim Arrangement Law provides both the NUG and the Magway Federal Unit concurrent legislative competence over the mobilisation and deployment of federal-unit defence and security forces. The laws therefore establish a division of responsibility, but essentially, the overlap also makes coordination between the two layers critical.

    Chapter 9 of the Interim Political Arrangement Law sets out the unit’s approach to defence and security across 13 provisions, including the principle that security forces remain under civilian authority. Separately, section 119 states that “The Defence and Security Forces of the Magway Federal Unit shall be under the authority of the civilian government”. Article 63 of the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force Law reiterates this principle.

    The Law’s Main Provisions

    Magway Defence Force Law is organised into nine chapters and 66 Articles. Its central feature is a two-track security structure. Chapter 3 provides for Magway Federal Unit Defence Force, bringing smaller local defence forces together under the command of the Magway Federal Unit Defence Minister. Chapter 4 establishes a Joint Military Operation Commission (JMOC) to coordinate with ethnic or territory-based forces and conduct joint operations with Union-level defence forces, ethnic armed organisations and other resistance forces operating in Magway. These chapters create two possible routes for local forces to enter Magway’s security architecture: joining the unit’s Defence Force or operating through the Joint Military Command Commission (JMOC).

    Magway Federal Unit Defence Force

    Under Article 6, the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force is to be formed in coordination with the NUG and include resistance forces operating in Magway. Article 8 provides for the Defence Minister to invite ethnic and territory-based forces to join the force’s preparatory committee, which will establish its military code of conduct and chain of command. Article 10 (a) sets the committee’s initial term at two years. The force will be led by a Commander-in-Chief under the authority of the Defence Minister and will comprise two branches: the Active Force and the Reserve Force.

    Joint Military Operation Commission (JMOC)

    Ministry of Defence of the Unit is responsible for the JMOC’s administration and the Chief Minister heads the Commission. Its term is tied to the four-year term of the Magway Federal Unit Government. Under Article 32 (e), the JMOC is authorised to conduct joint operations with Union-level defence forces and ethnic armed organisations in neighbouring states, which means Chin and Arakan and other resistance forces operating within Magway. Article 32 (f) authorises the JMOC, in coordination with the unit’s Ministry of Defence, to issue the rules and instructions necessary to carry out its responsibilities. The JMOC will be funded by the Ministry of Defence under Article 35.

    These altogether provide a legal basis for cooperation across organisational boundaries. At the same time, the law does not by itself settle how the commission’s authority relates to NUG security coordination or to the command of the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force. Without agreed procedures for planning, approving and reviewing joint operations, the two tracks could produce overlapping or competing command structures. The law establishes two pathways for organising forces but leaves their relative authority unclear. It does not specify who decides whether a force joins the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force or operates through the JMOC, or which command takes precedence during joint operations. The relationship between existing command structures and the two tracks also remains undefined, including their respective mandates, reporting lines and oversight arrangements.

    Current Resistance Landscape and Four Pathways

    Magway’s resistance movement is not yet a single, unified force. It comprises People’s Defence Forces (PDFs), People’s Defence Teams (PDTs), People’s Security Teams (PSTs), Local People’s Defence Forces (LPDFs), military columns and other territory-based formations, as well as forces linked to ethnic armed organisations in neighbouring areas. PDFs, PDTs and PSTs operate under NUG command. LPDFs maintain separate command structures, but often coordinate with other forces in their areas of operation. PSTs operate alongside the NUG’s People’s Administrative Teams on the ground and primarily perform policing functions rather than engage in frontline combat. PDFs remain the NUG’s regular fighting force in Magway, operating under Regional Command 1 – a joint military command between the NUG and the Kachin Independence Organisation (KIO) covering central Burma. This leaves two other categories of forces to consider in the Magway Federal Unit’s new security arrangements: LPDFs and PDTs.

    Now they are central to the evolving landscape. Centre for Ah Nyar Studies’ internal records list 93 LPDFs and 25 PDTs as formed in all 25 townships of Magway. These figures indicate that the groups have been established or documented, but do not confirm that every unit is currently active in military operations on the ground. Our monthly security monitoring indicates that this presence is uneven across Magway’s five districts. Resistance forces have a comparatively stronger presence and greater control in parts of Pakokku and Gangaw districts. In the other three districts, the security situation appears more fluid, with intermittent armed clashes and ambushes rather than the same level of sustained resistance control.

    Magway’s Chief Minister has said the unit government will negotiate with the NUG Ministry of Defence on transitioning 25 PDTs to the federal-unit government. PDTs have a comparatively widespread presence, operating as people’s militias from village to township level. Many are also reported to be well trained in military command and formal combat. Under the new law, they may join the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force or operate through the JMOC. The two routes offer different ways to organise forces: one within the unit’s own defence structure, and the other through a mechanism for joint operations with Union-level forces, ethnic armed organisations and other resistance groups. Or PDTs themselves may choose to remain under the NUG command.

    On 93 LPDFs, our internal records indicate that Magway’s Defence Minister, Bo Let Yar, has brought together at least 31 LPDFs and reorganised them into 13 military columns under the unit’s command. These are relatively small groups operating across all five districts. Many are reported to have close ties to Bo Let Yar. Some LPDFs in the Yaw region, including the Yaw Army and Yaw Defence Force, have described themselves as emerging ethnic armed organisations. Two groups associated with the Asho Chin community – the Asho Chin People’s Defence Force and the People’s Defence Force–Asho have claimed self-administration. The ethnic-associated groups mentioned here are reported to have close ties with the Arakan Army (AA). It remains unclear which pathway these groups will choose under the new security framework. Ethnic-associated LPDFs, as well as territory-based groups such as the People’s Revolutionary Alliance (Magway) and the United States of Burma Army (USBA), could join the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force, operate through the Joint Military Operations Commission, or remain unchanged.

    SRA as a fourth pathway

    Initially a 19-member bloc, the Spring Revolution Alliance is a coalition of armed groups created in November 2025. It operates through three regional commands, one of which extends into Magway. Magway-based groups such as the Yaw Army, Yaw Defence Force and Magway People’s Defence Force are among its members. Some may choose to join the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force, although this appears less likely. Likewise, current or prospective SRA members in Magway may seek to engage with Magway’s JMOC collectively through the alliance, rather than joining individually. Whether they choose this route may depend on their immediate security and organisational interests, as well as their longer-term political and ethnic ambitions. At its second conference on 28-30th September 2026, the SRA described itself as both a military bloc and a political coalition. This broader role may influence how its members engage with Magway’s emerging security arrangements.

    Four security scenarios

    The law creates several possible pathways for Magway’s security arrangements. These scenarios are not mutually exclusive and elements of more than one could emerge at the same time. The available data also records forces as formed, but does not confirm that every group remains active in military operations.

    1. Negotiated federal integration

    Magway and the NUG agree on how their respective powers apply to force formation, mobilisation and deployment. PDTs and LPDFs enter the Magway Federal Unit Defence Force or the JMOC through a negotiated process, while PDFs remain under NUG command and coordinate through Regional Command 1. In this scenario, the JMOC becomes a practical link between unit-level forces, Union-level forces and neighbouring groups. Clear command, oversight and supply arrangements help preserve local responsiveness within a wider federal framework.

    1. Uneven dual-track coexistence

    The two pathways operate side by side, but without a comprehensive agreement on their boundaries. Some LPDFs and PDTs join the unit’s Defence Force, others work through the JMOC and some remain under NUG command. Coordination continues where relationships and operational needs support it, but practices vary across groups and districts. Given the different levels of resistance presence across Magway, security governance may develop unevenly: more established in parts of Pakokku and Gangaw and more fluid elsewhere. This appears a plausible near-term scenario while negotiations and force transitions remain incomplete.

    1. NUG-centred continuity with limited unit-level transition

    The NUG retains command of PDFs and some PDTs, while Magway consolidates selected LPDFs into its 13 military columns (or expand more) and builds the unit Defence Force. The JMOC provides a channel for cooperation, but functions mainly as a coordination mechanism rather than as a unified command. This scenario could preserve existing relationships and limit disruption during the transition. However, it would leave the division of authority between the NUG and Magway partly unsettled, particularly over mobilisation, joint operations and accountability.

    1. Fragmented, bloc-based security and confederal drift

    If coordination with the NUG remains weak and the two tracks’ authority is not clarified, forces may develop parallel command and supply arrangements. Groups with close ties to the AA or membership in the SRA could engage with Magway collectively through the JMOC, rather than joining the unit force individually. This may give blocs greater bargaining power, but could also complicate common planning and oversight. Magway would remain able to respond to very localised threats, yet face limits in making or sustaining security commitments that involve Chin, Arakan or the wider national landscape. Over time, autonomous force structures and external security arrangements could push practice towards a confederal model.

    The central issue across these scenarios is whether Magway and the NUG can turn overlapping legal authority into workable coordination. The clearest indicators will be the terms of PDT and LPDF transitions, the JMOC’s actual role in joint operations and whether the two governments establish shared procedures for command, oversight and military supplies.

  • Analysis of the Evolving Power Structure of Federal Units in Central Burma

    Analysis of the Evolving Power Structure of Federal Units in Central Burma

    Analysis of the Evolving Power Structure of Federal Units in Central Burma

    Photo: People of Sagaing Show Their Support for Operation 1027 and Ethnic Revolutionary Organisations (Photo: Sagaing Region Strike Forces’ Facebook Page)

    Briefing Paper on Federal Unit Politics of Central Burma (part 2)

    The emergence of federal units in central Burma marks a major shift in the country’s revolutionary politics, shaped by the political dynamics of the Spring Revolution. Although this development has been influenced to some extent by the federal principles articulated by actors involved in the NCA process before the coup, as well as by the longstanding principles of ethnic revolutionary groups, the formation of federal units has been driven primarily by the latest discussions after the coup. In the meantime, central Burma has become a testing ground for revolutionary governance, shaped by various armed and political actors working towards a common goal.

    While Part (1) of this series traced the origins and formation of these federal units, Part II examines the power structures within the three units. The analysis aims to uncover how central authority is organised, distributed, and contested, and to offer insights into the political struggles at the regional (federal unit) level amid growing calls for NUG reform.

    Constituent Base of Power

    The power structure of the federal units is shaped by three overlapping sources of legitimacy: electoral, revolutionary, and civil. These cores altogether create a hybrid political order that is neither traditionally parliamentary nor purely revolutionary. This hybrid nature is still a new concept in the political history of Burma.

    Sources of Legitimacy

    Electoral legitimacy derives from the 2020 elected MPs who constitute the unit parliaments. The 2020 General Elections were an electoral process established under the military-drafted 2008 Constitution. Under that Constitution, the terms of the parliaments were set at five years (see Sections 119, 151 and 168[1]). However, the Constitution was completely abolished by the Committee Representing the Pyidaungsu Hluttaw on 31 March 2021[2]. Since then, the new terms of the unit parliaments have been defined as lasting until the emergence of new parliaments under a permanent constitution developed for each region (see Section 58 of the Magway Interim Arrangements; Section 65 of the Mandalay Interim Arrangements; and Section 51 of the Sagaing Constitution).

    Unit parliaments have very limited capacity to exercise territorial authority due to displacement, weak administrative structures, and the complex dynamics of post-coup actors. Nevertheless, their presence provides continuity with pre-coup democratic mandates and offers both local and international legitimacy. The unit parliaments also confer legality on the interim arrangements and serve as the principal bodies for legislative oversight during wartime.

    Revolutionary legitimacy arises from resistance groups that have gained authority through territorial control or influence within the units. These groups include the “3-Ps” (People’s Defence Team, People’s Administration Team, and People’s Security Team) of NUG and the Local People’s Defence Forces (LPDF). Their legitimacy is grounded in the practical authority they exercise through on-the-ground governance and the provision of security. A closer look at the leadership and the composition of resistance groups, four broad community clusters can be identified: youth groups, political parties (primarily the NLD), students’ unions, and local labour and peasant communities. Youth groups involved in national and regional youth policy processes between 2015 and 2020 now form the core of youth-led resistance groups in the region, while the NLD youth wings in the three regions (now federal units) and other democratic political parties have also joined the armed resistance. In central Burma, the Myay-Latt and upper Burma divisions of the All Burma Federation of Students’ Unions, along with several university students’ unions, joined various armed organisations after the coup. In addition, local labour and peasant communities also stepped forward to take up arms and fight against the military junta following the coup.

    Despite differing levels of participation in the political process surrounding the interim arrangements, no direct involvement of resistance groups was found in Sagaing, whereas such involvement was evident in Magway and Mandalay (as reflected in categories 6 and 4 of their respective drafting bodies). In Magway, 14% of the members of the drafting commission were representatives of armed resistance groups, compared with 9% in Mandalay.

    Civic–stakeholder legitimacy comes from women’s organisations, labour groups, peasants, ethnic/minority groups, students’ unions, strike groups, youth networks, and CDM civil servants. Although this category represents very diverse organs, three major groups significantly influence this layer: ethnic minorities, CDM participants, and strike groups. These three groups have demonstrated a relatively higher level of dominance over the political process, beginning with the drafting phase and continuing to the current stage of executive formation. Local bodies representing each group have emerged alongside the drafting process. These include the Sagaing Region Strike Forces[3], formed by strike groups in the Sagaing Region; the Sagaing Federal Unit CDM Civil Servants Council[4] and the Chin Ethnic Groups[5] of the Magway Federal Unit.

    Yinmarbin-Salingyi Strike of Sagaing Region Strike Forces [6]

    This inclusion reflects the social character of the Spring Revolution and broadens political participation beyond armed actors and elected officials. However, their roles often lack a clear constituency and accountability mechanisms, leading to overlapping mandates and the potential duplication of functions.

    These sources of legitimacy combine and create a power structure characterised by negotiation, decentralisation, and collective decision-making. Clearly, the term “consensus” is frequently described in the interim arrangements (in Sagaing, it is the constitution) of three units.

    Varied Models of Executive Power

    The three units share common goals and similar political origins, but they adopt different models of executive power to adapt to the need to balance local power and drive the resistance movement forward.

    Sagaing adopts a highly collectivised executive structure. The five groups responsible for drafting the Sagaing Constitution have significant influence over executive authority, as Section 67 empowers them to scrutinise and select members of the executive. Their influence is further reinforced by Section 66, which permits only individuals belonging to the representative groups involved in the constitution-drafting commission to serve as cabinet members. The Chief Minister has very limited unilateral power, and the government operates through consensus among representative blocs. The Chief Minister does not have the executive authority to appoint or remove any cabinet members, including the Chief Administrator of the Naga Self-Administered Zone. Nor does the Chief Minister have the power to restructure the executive body under the constitution.

    Process Diagram of Cabinet Formation in Sagaing

    This model strictly prevents the concentration of power in any single actor but risks policy paralysis under collective leadership.

    Magway presents the most codified and legally formalised model of executive formation among the federal units. Law No. 1/2023 of the Federal Unit Parliament institutionalises the drafting commission as a body composed of seven representative blocs, and these blocs subsequently become embedded as core political actors within the executive architecture. Their influence is structurally established through Sections 12(d), 61–63, and 152–154 of the Magway Interim Arrangement.

    Process Diagram of Cabinet Formation in Magway

    Section 12(d) predetermines the composition of the cabinet by limiting eligibility to members of these seven blocs, effectively transforming the drafting commission into a gatekeeping mechanism for executive authority. Sections 61–63 further empower the blocs to constitute the Selection Commission responsible for appointing cabinet members, including the Chief Minister. Each bloc nominates one candidate for Chief Minister, and the Selection Commission—comprised of representatives from these same blocs under Sections 153 and 154 determines the executive leadership. Although the Chief Minister is nominally authorised to nominate ministers, cabinet formation remains contingent on the collective consent of the seven blocs and subsequent parliamentary approval. In effect, the Magway model reflects the Sagaing protocol: the Chief Minister lacks unilateral authority to appoint, dismiss, or restructure the cabinet. Executive authority is instead dispersed across the seven blocs and the parliament. Consequently, Magway’s executive structure operates as a hybrid parliamentary model in which executive leadership is balanced, and at times constrained, by institutionalised checks from both parliamentary institutions and civil–political groups.

    Mandalay adopts the least formalised and most centralised model, built around the Coordination Platform of revolutionary forces (the Mandalay Platform). Its Interim Governing Council is selected by the 11–15 representative blocs from the Mandalay Platform, followed by parliamentary approval. Unlike Sagaing and Magway, the Mandalay Executive Head is authorised to appoint, dismiss, or restructure the cabinet.

    Process Diagram of Council Formation in Mandalay

    However, there are no provisions in the arrangement guiding the accountability mechanisms of executive members. It remains unclear whether executive members will be held accountable to the parliament or to the Mandalay Platform. Mandalay has not yet published the members of the Mandalay Platform. The absence of detailed legal provisions on accountability reflects the politically sensitive security environment, where coordination takes precedence over legal precision.

    Reference

    [1] Section 119. The term of the Pyithu Hluttaw is five years from the day of its first session. Section 151. The term of the Amyotha Hluttaw is the same as the term of the Pyithu Hluttaw. The term of the Amyotha Hluttaw expires on the day of the expiry of the Pyithu Hluttaw. Section 168. The term of the Region or State Hluttaw is the same as the term of the Pyithu Hluttaw. The term of the Region or State Hluttaw expires on the day of the expiry of the Pyithu Hluttaw.

    [2] CRPH, “Declaration on the Complete Abolition of the 2008 Constitution” [31 March 2021]. Available here: https://crphmyanmar.org/publications/statements/crph3103212/

    [3] https://www.facebook.com/Sggstrike

    [4] https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100091451325717

    [5] https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61580838481806

    [6] https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=122196780116063633&set=pb.61551909016018.-2207520000&type=3

    Read part (1) of the briefing paper here.


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